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Industrial Sales Not Immune From Higher Interest Rates Impact

All through the pandemic, industrial properties have been among the most desired by commercial real estate investors. But in the current market environment, are industrial assets holding up just as well?

Following another bump in interest rates and continuing economic uncertainty, overall industrial deal volume in the U.S. fell 18 percent year-over-year in the third quarter, reports data providers MSCI Real Assets. But at $35.5 billion, that volume was still 48 percent above the quarterly average recorded between the third quarter of 2015 and 2019, which totaled roughly $23.9 billion.
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The Boom Times in Industrial Real Estate Are Far From Over

industrial warehouse

Industrial real estate has been the standout sector in real estate for close to a decade, and the pandemic only further entrenched its position.

While other sectors of the economy ground to a virtual halt, consumers’ accelerated shift toward e-commerce made industrial one of the few assets to benefit from lockdowns and social distancing.

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Industrial Tenants Face Sticker Shock Amid Spiraling Inflation

Red Right Arrow Ahead Showing Increase Profit Income

Renters of industrial properties are facing sticker shock in the current inflationary environment, with national effective rent growth expected to increase nearly 23% year over year in 2022.

“Although industrial has a reputation for shorter lease terms, the reality is that the weighted average lease term for industrial is around five to seven years, much like it is for office,” write Cushman & Wakefield economists Rebecca Rockey and James Bohnaker in a new analysis. “Many of the leases that are rolling today are therefore significantly underpriced on the tenant side, especially with escalations that may have been negotiated five to seven years ago.”

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